Sunday, 20 December 2009
Joe McElderry : 450,838
Lady Gaga: 61,677
Peter Kay: 52,605
Mariah Carey: 16,449
If these figures are wrong I will stand corrected :).
Previous X Factor Winner Sales Figures + Show Viewer Averages:
(Series 1) Steve Brookstein - 250,000 (6.90 mill viewers)
(Series 2) Shayne Ward - 742,180 (8.72 mill viewers)
(Series 3) Leona Lewis - 571,253 (8.02 mill viewers)
(Series 4) Leon - 490,000 (8.35 mill viewers)
(Series 5) Alexandra Burke - 576,000 (10.50 mill viewers)
(Series 6) Joe McElderry - 450,838 (13.31 mill viewers)
A month or so back, who could've predicted such a close, and particularly unusual christmas number one battle would be looming. It seems that the great British tradition of crazy christmas number ones happenings was not only put on hold by X Factor (year on year) but also eventually spurred on by it.
Many have suggested that Cowell probably loves the idea of this chistmas battle, but I'm not so sure. Publicity for the show and Joe himself is surely at saturation point, so unless this battle results in hundreds of thousands of additional sales (which by the stats so far it hasn't), I don't see it as a plus for Cowell that Joe may miss out of the number one spot.
Tuesday Mid Week Sales: 77,000
Wednesday Mid Week Sales: 110,000 (+33,000)
Thursday Mid Week Sales: 216,000 (+116,000)
Friday Mid Weeks: 297,000 (+81,000)
Rage Against The Machine
Tuesday Mid Week Sales: 83,000
Wednesday Mid Week Sales: 175,000 (+92,000)
Thursday Mid Week Sales: 253,000 (+78,000)
Friday Mid Weeks: 306,000 (+53,000)
The RATM campaign has been phenomenally successful, but Joe has been catching up towards the weekend. On the face of these numbers, you'd think this was Joes for the taking. At time of writing though RATM stand at odds of 1.18 and Joe 6 on betfair. A complete turn around from last night. A leak? Or do punters think the snow may have harmed Joe's physical sales (O rly?). His digital sales were low the day before the physical CD went on sale. It's hard to wrap an MP3 :). Have thousands of Rage fans have been holding out towards the weekend to buy the single? An intriguing situation.
Roll on the top 40.....
EDIT: Based on their sales the CEO of 7digital.com thinks that RATM may have sold 100,000 units on saturday. Enough to swing it?
Tuesday, 26 May 2009
This does not apply to the final which is over two shows.
I finally bowed to pressure and backed Susan Boyle to win. I also have had three longshot side bets with Hollie Evans (massively overpriced), DJ Talent (pictured - he was very funny) and Julian Smith (has the story/drive to win it and you know he will be consistent).
I posted about Jamie Pugh being a contender a few weeks ago but luckily never backed him. He was useless wasn't he?
Analysis of Susan Boyle's popularity is difficult as the whole is still gabbling about her - while not voting for her. I am very confident she will win.
Sunday, 24 May 2009
Aidan Davis – Dancer
Ben and Becky – Ballroom Dancers
Brit Chix – Rock Band
Callum Francis – Musical Theatre
Darth Jackson – Michael Jackson/ Darth Vader Impersonator
DCD Seniors – Dance Troupe
Diversity – Street Dancers
DJ Talent – Rapper
Dream Bears – Comedy Dancers
Fabia Cerra – Burlesque Dancer
Faces of Disco – Comedy Dancers
Flawless – Street Dancers
Floral High Notes – Flower Arranging and Opera Singing
Fred Bowers – Breakdancer
Gareth Oliver – Comedy Impersonator
Good Evans – Family Singing Group
Greg Pritchard – Male Soprano
Harmony – Musical Theatre
Hollie Steel – Singer/ Dancer
Hot Honeyz – Dancers
Jackie Prescott and Tippy Toes – Dog Act
Jamie Pugh – Singer
Julia Naidenko – Belly Dancer
Julian Smith – Saxophonist
Kay Oresanya – The Living Saxophone
Luke Clements – Juggler/ Street Performer
Mama Trish – Drag Act
Martin Machum – Guitarist
MD Showgroup – Dancers
Merlin Cadogan – Physical Performer
Natalie Okri – Singer
Nick Hell – Street Performer
Shaheen Jafargholi – Singer
Shaun Smith – Singer
Stavros Flatly – Comedy Dancers
Sue Son – Violinist
Sugarfree – Street Dancers
Susan Boyle – Singer
The Barrow Boys – Wheelbarrow Dancing
2 Grand - Singers
Wednesday, 20 May 2009
I have changed my mind today several times and truly don't know tonights winner.
My latest thought is that Adam has improved over Kris by 1.6% from last week. If this is true he wins by either 0.6% or 2.6% if Ryan Seacrests comments last week are true.
Or you could just toss a coin!
Anyway, Good luck all.
Thursday, 14 May 2009
That was a very predictable result last night. I am a bit surprised at how Kris has reduced the gap to basically nothing and I make him a narrow favourite now to win the series. The stats showed that this week his numbers have shot off the scale and he is now up there with Adam in the silly numbers area.
I say I am surprised but we have had a run of hot favourites stalling near the end in the last year - Diana Vickers, Mini Me, Andrew Johnston, Austin Healey, Kathreya etc. The public definitely have an attention span/ boredom threshold of only 6-10 weeks before they seek out something new.
I think producers have learned this and like to encourage flip-flops and a more dramatic narrative.
What do with American Idol? Personally, I win big whatever, but I will probably go with 70% of profit in favour of Kris to win by shifting money on Betfair this week. I suggest you do the same - by clicking on the ads on this page, opening an account and betting away!
Tuesday, 12 May 2009
Keen TV gamblers like to talk of the concept of Vote Transference - voting for someone else if your personal favourite goes. I have never been really convnced that it affects things that much but others disagree with me and always take it into account.
The way that the Votefair ranking has Danny so low suggests that he is nobody's second favourite - you either vote for him or you don't. So if Vote Tranference concept is a correct assumption, not much will be transfering Danny's way.
A caveat though (isn't there always one), the middle America Christian voters are not represented well on these research polls. Many millions wait to vote until the final night. The religious phone vote powder may have been kept dry.
Fascinating stuff, isn't it?
Monday, 11 May 2009
What then happens if they stay in is usually a large vote boost the following week. Adam Lambert will get this massive vote boost this week, of that I am sure.
He can be backed at 1.36 on Betfair at the moment. Is this a good bet? I don't know but I think Kris Allen is closing fast. These shows are won and lost on the final night so nothing is concrete as yet.
Me? Well, I backed Adam and Kris back in the distant past so I am not too bothered with the final weeks posturing. I am confident of a good payday as I am sure Danny will be first out. Personally, if pushed to say, I also think Adam will win comfortably.
I still haven't watched the show! The experiment is nearly over.
Thursday, 7 May 2009
Wednesday, 6 May 2009
Rumours are abounding that there will be no live feed this year.
This is annoying as the insiders will clean up in the betting. What I don't understand is the contestants will be recorded anyway so surely it wouldn't kill them to pay an editor or two to stay up all night.
The whole point of the Big Brother 'experiment' was the live feed thing - this could be the beginning of the shows death throes.
A shift to Alison is fairly evident although I am not convinced you can draw too many conclusions from this.
I still haven't watched a minute of the show!
Tuesday, 5 May 2009
The 'shifty' foreigners will steal all our money.
I must try this making up stuff to get more readers malarkey. What phrases will bring in the most readers via Google? Allison Iraheta topless? Davina sex video? Amanda Holden naked? Zoe Salmon swimsuit shot(Hang on, I've done that already), Simon Cowell gay photo?
If I get 100,000 hits on this post this blog will be going downhill more often!
Monday, 4 May 2009
Can he catch the Boylemeister? I think he can.
Looking back, George Sampson won last year because he wanted it so much it was visceral. Viewers liked that a lot and he stormed home despite being as low as 40's on Betfair on the final night. Paul Potts also ticked the same boxes. Jamie Pugh also seems to have that need to win with a bit of humililty and fragility . I prefer his backstory to Susan Boyle - who also has peaked too early. He also has a regional vote which is always good to have.
A word of caution though. These shows are swinging more and more as the producers understand better how to manipulate us. Remember, nothing is certain until the final night. Good luck though.
Thursday, 16 April 2009
I even thought that her price would come in a lot and still didn't act on it!
Is it all over? I don't know but £250 at 5-1 would have put me in a strong position.
Is she a bargain now at just over evens? Again, I don't know but I suspect she will drift a little in the next 4 weeks.
Good luck if you pile in.
Wednesday, 15 April 2009
Zoomraker is one of the United Kingdom's foremost TV betting experts who also takes the highly analytical approach to his TellyBetting with highly profitable results.
This is a real honour for this site and I am hoping his superior knowledge of statistical analysis will open new doors for us all.
It is hard to say how well a contestants dial score correlates with there actual vote ranking. Last weeks elimination demonstrates this, with the lowest scorer not even being in the bottom three.
If there is any value in the dialidol data it would appear the race is currently between Gokey and Lambert.
It should be remembered that dialidol excludes text votes and only represents a certain type of voter, possibly towards the geekier/fanatical end of the spectrum as opposed to casual viewer.
The following article casts further doubt on the validity of dialidol data.
Tonights elimination will be interesting but I don't think I will be getting involved.
Wednesday, 8 April 2009
I thought he was peaking last week but he apparently blew everyone away this week. His RTSI went off the scale and unbelievably the overall trend is still one of increasing popularity. This is almost unheard of after this amount of time.
Kris Allen's internet noise has bombed even more after he blew the graveyard slot. However, I think he will stay this week at least.
I am not betting on this but I think Anoop may go later.
So, if you haven't backed Adam, do you pile in? In a word - No. His price will drift out again a little. Don't miss it then though.
Friday, 3 April 2009
Thursday, 2 April 2009
I don't watch the show live and haven't bet on evictions yet but people have been making very good money using it. I suggest you join them.
The details are in the picture on the left.
Go take a look here.
1) Adam Lambert - although miles ahead, has finally peaked. His traffic is reducing slowly. I still have him as a worthy favourite but it looks like he can be beaten by.....
2) Kris Allen - had a big jump this week in the stats. His traffic has doubled in one week. He is the only other contestant going the right way.
I am nicely green on both on Betfair and am ignoring the rest.
Now we wait!
Wednesday, 18 March 2009
I am really busy at the moment in my work life so I can't maintain the blog as much as I would like to. Something has to give and this blog is it. So I have decided to post less regularly but hopefully better of quality.
I am away this weekend so can't comment on Dancing On Ice. Personally, I have greened up on Betfair and can now relax. I suspect strongly Ray will win though.
I am also keen to keep my ideas to myself more as I am beginning to make real progress in predictive analysis and want as few a people as possible with the same idea.
HOWEVER, I will be back with a bang for Britain's Got Talent and the daddy of them all, Big Brother.
I am also watching American Idol (not the show) closely but there is little value in the market at the moment.
Sunday, 8 March 2009
Anyhow, back to more serious business. My predictions for next week. Skaters scores first:
That is the easy bit. Now the public bit:
The totals are:
Donal is safe next week in my opinion. The bit I am unsure about is the possibility of Jessica overtaking Ray in the public vote which would change things a lot.
Personally, I backed Ray, Donal and Coleen, so I am quids in whatever (Jessica has no chance). I am annoyed I missed the massive odds on Donal but that's life.
Saturday, 7 March 2009
I have some experience with suspected Scaphoid fractures and normally people are put into plaster/a splint for 10 days and then x-rayed again to see if a fracture is present. She may get a MRI scan/Ultrasound to give a quicker answer but it won't be 100%.
Personally, I doubt she will dance tomorrow. The risks of falling on an already fractured scaphoid are very real (Non-Union, Mal-Union, Avascular Necrosis, Complex Regional Pain Syndrome etc) - even in a protective splint. It is different gravy to a rib fracture etc and you can bet the shows insurers will be watching carefully.
Bet accordingly and protect yourself on Betfair. There are a few cheeky bets out there. A dutch of Donal, Zoe and Jessica weighted towards the girls looks a good bet, if a small one.
I may be wrong but it could mess up a nice green book and that would be annoying.
EDIT: Coleen is skating tonight.
Thursday, 5 March 2009
Tuesday, 3 March 2009
There is not much traffic to speak of in my opinion but Ray seems to be the most popular.
'Nothing to see here,' as a traffic cop might opine.
Monday, 2 March 2009
Sunday, 1 March 2009
The key is the number on the y-axis on the graph. The top graph is Coleen with a 272, the bottom is Donal with 330 - the next highest was 170 ish.
Coleens fans however may be less internet savvy though. I'd have it about equal in all honesty.
I would say that most of us take this into account when betting and enjoy the rollercoaster nature of it. I would also say that it is more trustworthy than the horses or dogs. Like the horses, there are patterns which are identifiable and can be used to make money.
There are lots of shows as well to try, it does help if you find one you like - Strictly Come Dancing is a good one for many.
So, give it a go. You may like it.
Sunday, 22 February 2009
I never followed it through as I wanted at least 30-1 at the time. I always knew it was a storming bet but wanted to nick a monster win.
Saturday, 21 February 2009
Friday, 20 February 2009
It essentially shows a set amount of internet noise for each contestant. If one gets more interest the timescale on the X-axis will be reduced.
Firstly, I am new to analysing these plots so your guess is as good as mine.
However, I reckon Danny made a much bigger impression during the show. Alexis caused a bit of a surprise in the results show but Danny has had more enduring popularity since the results show.
These graphs are difficult to analyse (due to the variable x-axis) so any help is appreciated.
Thursday, 19 February 2009
It is Facebook's Lexicon and it is essentially a way of searching and plotting people comments or updates on Facebook.
People often update in real time their thoughts on a TV show on Facebook. They will mention a particular contestants name. Facebook Lexicon counts occurrences of words and phrases that appear on Walls over time. Much like Tellybetting's old favourite Google Trends, these can be searched and plotted.
I was very excited when I first discovered it and was convinced I had the holy grail that nobody else had. It is good but the lag time (24-48 hours) is the real problem with it. These markets move a lot in 2 days and so the opportunity to use Lexicon effectively is rare. It is a pity as it is a sensitive tool when deployed correctly.
Have a look yourself. It is straightforward to use.
Why am I giving away tips to winning? Because there are other tools out there which may be better. The next great white hope is my Real-Time Sentiment Index (RTSI). I will let you know about it sometime.
Wednesday, 18 February 2009
I would like to thank the staff at Trendrr for allowing me extra graphs in order to plot all 36 contestants together. It is a great site for TV betting research and I recommend it heartily.
EDIT: I know Arianna Afsar isn't on it. I am collecting her data though and will add her soon.
Recently, I have been wondering about the validity of Youtube as a pointer to a persons popularity while betting on TV shows. Although it is good,I have suspected it was easily manipulated - much like a lot of internet polls. However, I don't believe people are doing it yet, although that may change on reading this!
This is the tool to do it. It is relatively slow, but left on overnight it could play havoc with view numbers on certain videos.
Is it wrong to mislead people in order to win cash?
I am seriously thinking of having a go with this in the next year. Don't say you weren't warned!
Tuesday, 17 February 2009
This may or may not apply to you all.
Personally, the people I like don't win TV shows. I take this as a compliment because they are usually pillocks.
Don't let personal opinions of contestants rule your head too much. You probably do not represent the average voting demographic so your opinion while not worthless isn't of much value.
Monday, 16 February 2009
Talking of new methods, I will activate my Supertool in a few days. It should be great for American Idol betting
Sunday, 15 February 2009
- Anoop Desai
- Von Smith
- Alex Wagner
- Adam Lambert
- Taylor Vaifanua
- Jasmine Murray
- Arianna Afsar
- Casey Carlson
- Megan Corkrey
- Mishavonna Henson
- Stevie Wright
- Felicia Barton
- Kendall Beard
- Kristin McNamara
- Alexis Grace
- Scott MacIntire
- Jackie Tohn
- Lil Rounds
- Jessie Langseth
- Allison Iraheta
- Danny Gokey
- Ricky Braddy
- Matt Giraud
- Ju’not Joyner
- Jorge Nunez
- Brent Keith
- Stephen Fowler
- Nick Mitchell
- Tatiana Del Toro
- Nathaniel Marshall
- Jeanine Vailes
- Kai Kalama
- Anne Marie Boskovich
- Kris Allen
- Matt Breitzke
- Michael Sarver
Following last weeks line betting arbs, the bookies have tightened up the lines. There is a small one to be had with Ray and the weeks Top Score but little else of note. A pity.
Tuesday, 10 February 2009
Lowest Judges score in week 5: Under 9.25 with Sid James at 5/6 Todd to score above 7.9 points at 5/6 with the Goat. If he scores 7 or under, or 10 or over then 500*5/6 - 500 = (83.33) If he scores 8 or 9 it's a double collect at 416.67 + 416.67. So for a max liability of 83.33 scoring 8 or 9 is effectively 10/1 on what is a 2/1 shot.
Good eh? Perhaps I shouldn't post it?
Sunday, 8 February 2009
I actually think Ellery will be the one that goes, so have had a saver on him.
I also promise that this will be the last picture of Roxanne I post!
I also find myself having little spare time at the moment in order to watch the show.
So I thought we could run an interesting experiment. I will bet on American Idol - especially the winners market - but not watch a minute of the show. The eviction market relies on factors that occur during the show so I will probably ignore it. I will try to avoid even looking at pictures of the contestants.
This means I will be betting solely on the polling numbers alone without any of my own thoughts ruining it! It may go horribly wrong but nothing ventured. nothing gained.
Anyone else going to join me?
Google Trends has thrown up an interesting picture. Todd's spike is not a surprise. Jessica is a touch more popular than I thought. Ray is not exciting the populace that much. Colleen is not doing well but remember that she appeals to a demographic who are not online as much.
We shall see how the graph changes in the next few weeks.
Sunday, 1 February 2009
Tonights show has me thinking that Donal could be a good outsider. He has showed marked improvement and tries very hard. He also has a good regional vote behind him - more so if Zoe goes. If he stays tonight, I may risk a few quid on him for a truly monster win. I thought you would prefer a picture of Roxy to Donal though!
Monday, 26 January 2009
I must admit it strikes me as a fantastic way to disseminate tips and market opportunities amongst ourselves very quickly.
I would certainly be interested in following your thoughts on the betting markets.
I am sorry for not posting in the last week. I have been very busy at work including the weekend so literally didn't get a chance to post.
Celebrity Big Brother wasn't great for me. I managed lay off some of Verne due to overexposure but still lost some cash on him. I am annoyed because I tried to lay off everything at 1.4's but wasn't taken on - I suspect I have the same problem with Ray Quinn coming up as well!
Big Brother is getting less votes and more unpredictable. I must remember this for the summer.
I will post my Dancing On Ice thoughts later in the week.
Sunday, 18 January 2009
Verne's driving stunt was very funny and would have gained a lot of votes. His price will finally start to come down in the next two days.
The series is petering out though. It has been dull.
Wednesday, 14 January 2009
The initial spike is to be expected but what stands out is the sustained interest in Coolio. I think a lot of that will be due Gangsta's Paradise being dusted off but he is certainly making an impression which is not always a bad thing.
One to watch out for if he makes the last few as a possible bet for second (if possible - I haven't checked).
Big night for Verne tonight, he has been treading water a little. I am sure I am not the only one concerned with his lack of action. I want him to go out and grab this competition with both hands. The Teddy Bear costume will help. Saying all that, I haven't laid off yet though and he probably offers good value at the moment after his micro drift. Channel 4 are also showing Goldmember in the next week which will help.
Tuesday, 13 January 2009
Michael Underwood was frankly poor with no improvement and will go soonish, I have taken a smal loss on him already. Roxanne is my main hope at the moment of a big win. I have also included a gratuitous shot for your perusal (my site traffic doubles with pictures like this).
Is there room for Todd and Coleen? For the moment, yes - but this will change. Todd is no John Sergeant in my opinion. Coleen is going to stay a while, the Loose Women will really push it as well. I have her at 36's-44's.
Eviction predictions soon.
Monday, 12 January 2009
The new techniques results are actually about 2 days behind current events so are no good for instant results which is a shame.
I was thinking of reducing my overexposed position on Verne but may wait a little longer after this - tonights show looks potentially very funny.
Sunday, 11 January 2009
Saturday, 10 January 2009
I won't be divulging my methods on this because I think it could make me a lot of money and you lot would try it to nab some!
Simulations have revealed success for picking winners in Britain's Got Talent (wow - 40-1), Big Brother, American Idol and X Factor. A little more refinement is needed at the moment though.
This could be a big one. I am very excited about it.
Thursday, 8 January 2009
I haven't posted a poll in a while. This is the last four days of the Digital Spy CBB poll plotted on a graph. This poll is notoriously unreliable, but occasionally shows perception changes earlier than anyone else. The DS BB fanatics are quite media savvy and tend to spot things early on. The other thing is that they are contrarians and often oppose favourites for no real reason.
The numbers are very small but the graph may show Terry running out of steam a little. He has been drifting on Betfair today as well. Did I say the numbers are small!
I still can't see Verne losing out.
Tuesday, 6 January 2009
However, if you take out Tommy Sheridan I suspect it is fairly accurate at the moment.
I am going to leave my Verne bet running (his price came in again as I promised you it would). The question is whether to back Terry properly - I did a little trading on him the other day on Betfair. I am not. He is getting a lot of exposure this week but may fade a little next week. He will probably continue to get good edits though.
Coolio is starting to grate a little so I will avoid him for now. La Toya will rise in the next few days as well.
If she makes the final night Ulrika could be a good bet for Top Female - I don't think this will happen though.
Sit tight with Verne is still my advice.
One thing to remember: Academy members nominate in the first instance to get it down to five nominees per category. They then vote again on those five nominees to decide on a winner.
A strong theme for this year’s Oscars could well be that of optimism. In the midst of an economic crisis that has crippled the USA one has a funny feeling that the ‘against all odds’ and feel good films could out. So too could the patriotic vote - the American movie industry needs its films to do well.
2000 Russell Crowe Gladiator
2001 Denzel Washington Training Day
2002 Adrien Brody The Pianist
2003 Sean Penn Mystic River
2004 Jamie Foxx Ray
2005 Philip Seymour Hoffman Capote
2006 Forest Whitaker The Last King of Scotland
2007 Daniel Day-Lewis There Will Be Blood
Looking at the past eight winners there are definite trends that could point us in the right direction:
* Take out Adrien Brody’s performance in The Pianist and the other seven performances were of strong, larger than life characters - even the Deputy Dog sounding Capote.
* Performances of real life characters won in 04, 05 and 06, suggesting that another for the 2008 winner would be overload.
* After four consecutive winners from films set in the ‘past’, time could be ripe for a contemporary winner.
2000 Julia Roberts Erin Brokovich
2001 Halle Berry Monster’s Ball
2002 Nicole Kidman The Hours
2003 Charlize Theron Monster
2004 Hillary Swank Million Dollar Baby
2005 Reese Witherspoon Walk The Line
2006 Helen Mirren The Queen
2007 Mario Cotillard La Vie en Rose
Looking at the past eight winners there are definite trends that could point us in the right direction:
* Take out Reese Witherspoon and the other seven winners have all portrayed women with a definite ‘struggle’. Whether they fought against the ‘system’, the law or history, they in essence gave a performance of unexpected strength in the face of adversity in all its forms.
* The last two winners have been historical figures and just like the Leading Actor category, I cannot see them repeating the dose this year. They also both happened to be foreign actresses - again a third in row is very unlikely.
* The last eight winners have also tended to follow a historical (set pre-1990)-contemporary repeating pattern. If the pattern holds true then I’d be looking at a contemporary winner.
2001 A Beautiful Mind
2003 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
2004 Million Dollar Baby
2006 The Departed
2007 No Country for Old Men
Looking at the past eight winners there are definite trends that could point us in the right direction:
* The first thing to notice is that the Best Picture is exactly that - the best film taking into account the some of all its parts. In fact only Million Dollar Baby provided an Oscar for Actor/Actress in a Leading Role - Hillary Swank.
* The last three winners have all been quite graphic, especially the last two in which violence was the running theme. A more serene winner this year?* From 2001 onwards the winner has tended to be a film in which there is more than one main character, more than one big named actor/actress and certainly from 2002 onwards the portrayal of a ‘multi-character journey’. There’s no real ‘solo’ film where one big named actor/actress dominates in the line up of past winners.
So there you have it, some pointers that should help you in your trading of the Oscars. Final nominations are announced on the 22nd January and I'll be back then to apply these key points to the final five in each category, as well as previewing the Oscars for Best Direcor and the Supporting Roles.
Until then keep coming back to www.tellybetting.com for more Dancing On Ice and Celebrity Big Brother news. And if it is sports betting you're interested in then check us out at www.100betting.co.uk.
Monday, 5 January 2009
'On tonight’s show, as part of this week’s shopping task, the housemates will be forced to showcase the talent that made them famous in the first place.'
You just know Verne Troyer will be funny. Coolio does well as well. The rest are just too unpredictable. I think Mini-Me's price will contract further tonight and have rebacked him with a vengeance.
Rumours about Steve Strange going in persist, he is one to back if it happens.
Finally, here's hoping Lucy shows off her talents in the diary room - see left!
Saturday, 3 January 2009
I have layed back all my 5-1 (and a little 4-1) at 2.46 on Betfair and have a lovely green book to play with.
His price will probably shorten a little further but I suspect others will look to get out soon on him and I wanted to bank the profit now.
No real data available yet to analyse but it looks to be a great house so far.
Time to get them drunk, Big Brother!
Thursday, 1 January 2009
I have used Trendrr on X Factor with mixed results in the past. I still think it is very promising as a TV betting tool. Previously, I had targeted it on Youtube video uploads but now I am going to target Twitter. This microblogging service is starting to really take off in the US and is becoming massive. Trendrr will allow me to count how many times a contestants name is mentioned on Twitter and graph it to monitor as a trend over a period of weeks. It will give very quick updates of popularity.
We shall see when the final 12 American Idol contestants are chosen.
Happy New Year by the way. Roll on Celebrity Big Brother.