Monday, 18 September 2017

Champions League of Darts: Mensur Suljovic



Well, this year's Champions League of Darts tournament was certainly an unpredictable one wasn't it? I was way off with this one, and it seems so were most others considering Mensur Suljovic was getting on for 50-1 with some bookmakers to lift the trophy (and generous odds even to get out of his group). He did have a degree of good fortune with the opponents he faced, and his three dart average in the final was far from impressive at 87.85 (but he hit his doubles!), but he thoroughly deserved the win. It was touching to see what it meant to him and the struggles he'd faced in getting to where he is now. An entertaining two days by all accounts. The BBC must have been pleased with it!

Saturday, 16 September 2017

Champions League of Darts

On 16th and 17th of September on the BBC, the big names of darts (so no, it's not a BDO tournament! :P) all come together in the Champion League of Darts. First held in 2016 and won by Phil Taylor the participants will all be after the £100,000 top prize. Taylor will be of course see this as an opportunity to defend last years win - possibly against Van Gerwen once again - in what is his final year in the sport.

Last year saw Taylor crush Van Gerwen 11-5 in the final with an average of 109 per throw and while he clearly still has a lot in the tank, I'd argue that the 57 year old is on the decline and so stands less chance of winning the title this year. That's reflected in the odds, as he's currently 6-1 to win the tournament,  with Gary Anderson second favourite at 5-1 and Van Gerwen favourite at 8/11. The bookies have this one about right I'd say, when you factor in a combination of current form and proven ability. The likes of Dave Chisnall and Adrian Lewis are long odds, but I'm not overly tempted in that they have gone off the boil somewhat.

The set up of the competition dictates that two players go through in each group, to a knock out stage. With that in mind I'd be tempted to have a punt of Peter Wright, who at least has upped his game a lot this year (even if he himself has had a shaky couple of months). He faces the aforementioned Chisnall, Lewis (and Suljović) in his group and I can see him making it through, and beyond that who knows. At 8-1 it's worth a punt. Aside from that I'd have to go with Van Gerwen this time around at 8/11 to win the tournament. He's had some impressive averages of late and on the night has the tools and talent to lift the trophy!


Wednesday, 6 September 2017

Stoke City vs Manchester United Preview

Stoke City and Manchester United will square off on September 9 live on BT Sport and, if you're a fan of the former, it could be a tough watch.
With 10 goals and maximum points in the first three games of the Premier League, José Mourinho's United look like an unstoppable force this season. If that's not enough to give City fans something to worry about ahead of the TV showdown, United have dominated in previous encounters. Looking through the stats, Stoke have won just 28 times from 106 games. To add another layer of salt to the already gaping wound, the latest 18 Premier League battles between the two sides has only resulted in a win for Stoke on two occasions.
Hughes Has Hope, But Not Much Else on His Side
Put simply, if history is any indication of what's going to happen in the future, The Potters could get smashed on September 9. However, as always, there's a glimmer of hope and manager Mark Hughes certainly won't go down without a fight. Of course, the first helpful insight Hughes could have in the upcoming Stoke vs. Manchester United may be his familiarity with the Red Devils. Yes, the United that will turn up at the bet365 Stadium is very different to the team he played for between 1980 and 1995. However, there is a certain comfort that comes from knowing the spirit of a club and that could work in Hughes' favour.
Beyond this, the last two matches between the two have ended in 1-1 draws. On those occasions, Stoke's stifling brand of football allowed them to overcome any skill differential there may have been on paper. Now, things may not go the same way this season as United are playing better and City have remained fairly consistent. Indeed, from three Premier League matches, Hughes' men are one, one and one on wins, draws and losses. This could suggest another draw is on the cards, but only if United slip.
In addition to the keeper not conceding a goal, Romelu Lukaku (three goals), Anthony Martial (two goals) and Paul Pogba (two goals) are looking very slick this season. Beyond the individual stats, United have a shooting accuracy of 33% from 60 on target, a pass accuracy of 86% and a tackle success rating of 69%. Basically, wherever you look, Mourinho is getting the best out of his players and this looks like it will spell trouble for Stoke.
United Dominating the Betting Markets
If we take this line of thought and apply it to the betting markets on SunBets.co.uk, there are plenty of value bets out there. For the risk averse, a straight away win for United is currently marked at 1/2 and looking every bit like a dead cert. However, if you believe that things come in threes, a third draw could be a solid bet. Yes, as we've said, Manchester's finest will have to have an off day for this to happen. However, if there's one team that could cause a dip in form, it's Stoke (especially at home). For a draw, you'll currently receive 16/5 courtesy of Sun Bets' odds makers.

Of course, the online sports betting world is always awash with options and to stick with a straight result prediction isn't the best way to get the most value out of this game. Looking at the current dynamics, there's a strong possibility there will be goals in this game. If the game plays out as the formbook suggests, 5/4 on a Manchester United win and more than 2.5 goals is solid. Stoke could well pinch a goal, but it's unlikely they'll be able to stop the onslaught for too long. Of course, the counter to this is that Stoke won't score at all. United's 69% tackle success is impressive (even after just three games) and you'll currently find 11/8 on the away team winning without conceding.
For those that like to push their luck and rake in better returns, one of the most attractive wagers out there this weekend could be Lukaku to score first and United to win 2-0. Even though scorecasts are tricky to win, there's a ton of potential in this. The Belgian international is on red hot form and United haven't scored fewer than two goals in their last three Premier League games. Basically, if you're looking to take a punt on Stoke vs. Manchester United this weekend, the smart money would go on the latter. Even though you can't ever discount the grit and determination of Stoke, it seems as though their opponents are going to be too strong this time around.


Author bio
Dan Smyth is a freelance sports and betting writer with almost a decade of experience in the industry. From football and boxing to MMA, Dan now covers a wide range of high profile events with previews, reports and advice articles.

Saturday, 26 August 2017

Mayweather vs McGregor: Final Thoughts - Sun 27th August

I have discussed the Mayweather vs McGregor fight previously, and while most of what I say still stands, a couple of noteworthy change have emerged. The gloves the fighters will be wearing have been changed from 10oz to 8oz, which in theory benefits McGregor, since these are now closer to replicating UFC gloves. This has seen McGregor's odds of pulling off a victory drop down to just under 4-1 from 6-1 (and Mayweather 1-4 down from 1-7) so it's clearly given punters pause for thought. At the weigh in Mayweather tipped the scales at 149.5lbs, surprising some, to McGregor's 153lbs yesterday and so that's a possible advantage too, as well as the fact that Mayweather is coming out of retirement. Is his heart still in it? Find out at 5am!

McGregor looks pumped for the fight, but reality often bites, and Mayweather has a faultless boxing career behind him, so it's hard to beyond a Mayweather win. If it's an easy win, it may be that these UFC vs Boxing match ups become a thing of the past, which probably isn't a bad thing. Realistically any world class boxer should be able to put away a UFC fighter is the boxing ring, and any world class UFC fighter would likely do the same in the Octagon. Some cynics see the theatrics of the run up and wonder if it will extend to the ring and result, with a controversial or unusual result and a huge money rematch on the cards. Let's hope nothing of that nature occurs though, since boxing doesn't have the best reputation as it is!

Other sports...

Our women's national sports teams have been really putting the men to shame of late, and there's no better example right now than the England women's rugby team. They have brute forced their way through to what could be a compelling final against New Zealand tonight at 19:45. England are 5/6 and New Zealand 6/5 so really there is nothing to seperate them. I can't confess to being an expert on women's rugby, so I'm just be cheering on our girls. Let's have a bit of good news this Saturday!

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

Netherlands vs England - Women's European Championship

I'd long since giving up on the men's England football team achieving anything of note and so it makes a change to once again be able to get excited about England's internationals, via support of our women's team in the UEFA Women's 2017 Euros. They've put up a stellar performance so far, undefeated in their group through wins against Spain, Scotland and Portugal (though the latter performance was their weakest), then a 1-0 win against France in the quarter finals. Next up they take on a tough Netherlands side.

The Netherlands, like England, were undefeated during the group stages and swept Sweden aside in a 2-0 win in the quarter finals. This certainly sets up an intriguing semi final match up. Some would argue that the Netherlands receive a boost due to being hosts of the tournament and Karen Bardsley out with a leg fracture. Just look at the England goal tally though and the performances of the likes of Jodie Taylor and Toni Duggan.

In many ways the teams are very evenly matched, and the odds certainly suggest this with England at 11/8 to win, Netherlands 2-1 and the draw 2-1. From a betting point of view the jury is very much out but I'm confident the England girls can put away a couple of goals even against this standard of team. I'm not usually one for a patriotic punt, but I'd love our girls to make it through to the final (and then to lift the trophy) so for once I can't bring myself to look too far elsewhere!

With Germany out of the competition (amazingly they had won the previous six consecutive Euros Titles) via an early exit, there is huge opportunity ahead for England if they can make it past the Netherlands. Austia barely made it past Spain in the quarter finals - while England dispatched of Spain handily in the group stage - and although Denmark beat Germany in their quarter final match, they weren't exactly a goal scoring force in their group and in fact lost to the Netherlands. It's England's for the taking!

Netherlands vs England is on Channel 4 at 19:45, 3rd August.

Suggested Bets: 

England women to win -  13/10
England women to score both halves - 7/2