Tuesday 28 July 2015

Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury Thoughts

How have you been? I've been sat here desperately trying to avoid writing about Big Brother for TellyBetting since I only like the Celebrity version. Well that and comparing online casinos at thecasinodb.com following a recent barmstorming real life performance on the roulette in Nottingham. Anyway, on to a match up that's slightly more interesting than whatshisface vs whatsherface in a no doubt riveting BB final, namely Wladimir Klitschko vs Tyson Fury.

It's pretty early to be looking at this now official match-up between Klitschko and Fury (the fight is set for 24th October). Betting odds are available though and this is boxing after all, so I'd rather get my fight thoughts in before the inevitable postponement of the bout due to a broken fingernail or the like. I jest of course since regardless of your opinion of these two, they aren't the type to duck out of a match up.
To be honest, I'm looking forward to the run up almost as much as the fight itself. Klitschko has little to prove at this point in his career so usually lets the other fighter make a fool of himself mostly before, but sometimes also during and after the fight. God only knows what that could lead to during the fight promotions since Tyson Fury, is on occasion, 'as mad as a box of frogs'. Who can forget the time, when after winning a bout, he was handed a microphone and proceeded to break into song. He has form for this of course, having sang Bette Midler's 'Wind beneath my wings' at a post fight press conference after defeating Kevin Johnson. You can't make this stuff up. Anyway on to the fight.
Current odds see Klitschko at around 1/4 to win the bout, with Fury at 7/2 and the draw 30-1 with some bookmakers. This is unsurprising when you factor in that Klitschko is undefeated in over a decade against the best the division has to offer (admittedly is doesn't always have much to offer!). Granted Fury is unbeaten too, but he's only made a step up in class over his last few fights. We also have to realise that we tend to overestimate the chances of our domestic fighters in big fights.
In Fury's favour, Klitschko gets to take on someone who, for a change, more than matches him in stature, and who can certainly throw a punch. Fury at least knows what he has to do here, as the fight is to be held away from home in Germany so the prospect of him winning on points just doesn't seem all that likely to me. It's an all or nothing fight for him and I definitely see him at least attempting to go for the knockout. In doing so he may get exposed. Will he get picked apart at this level, against a fighter who, while not 'fun' to watch, is technically minded and has been there, done that and got the t-shirt?
I'm not the biggest fan of betting on odds-ons, so 1/4 doesn't really appeal. I'm more inclined to go with Wladimir Klitschko by KO, TKO or Disqualification at 5/4 with a small cover bet on the same for Tyson Fury at 6-1. It's not a fight I see going the distance, and I rate the experience and consistency of Klitschko over the punchers chance of Fury.

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