Sunday, 31 May 2015

Britain's Got Talent Final

I've been tuning in to the Britain's Got Talent semi final's all week and while not the most inspiring final ever, there's a good mix of acts at least. Over recent years the popularity of countless Diversity imitators seems to have abated a bit, which probably isn't a bad thing.

Welsh choir Cor Glanaethwy are current favourites at 5/4, singer Calum Scott is 2-1, dog act Jules and Matisse 5-1, Isaac Waddington 11-1, magician Jamie Raven 33-1, family singing act The Neales 40-1. Others are at bigger odds. It's a hard one to call bet wise. I had more confidence that the momentum behind Sweden's Eurovision entry would bag the win, than Cor Glanaethwy here at similar odds due to the momentum it had gathered over a period of time. Running order is everything is these competitions though and you can be sure that both Cor Glanaethwy and Calum Scott will get prime tail end slots.

There's possibly some value in the each way market, with plenty of acts in with a decent shot of clinching a top 3 position at 1/5 of the odds but again with some acts 'nailed on' for good slots, it's not an easy feat to even make top 3. It looks like two wild card acts are set to make the final too. That complicates matters slightly, though being that they failed to win their semi finals that somewhat reduces their threat.

Since there's not a huge amount of value in Cor Glanaethwy, I'm going to go with a win bet on dog act Jules and Matisse at 5-1 on the basis that we're a nation of animal lovers, a comparable act has won in the past, and as there are a number of singing acts, it might water down their vote somewhat. Maybe I'm barking mad, we'll find out tonight.


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